This prediction was based on a mathematical simulation referred to as the "Indian Supermodel", assuming that India reaches herd immunity. Ī government panel on COVID-19 stated in October 2020 that the pandemic had peaked in India, and could come under control by February 2021. In July 2020, it was estimated based on antibody tests that at least 57% of the inhabitants of Mumbai's slums may have been infected with COVID-19 at some point. Many of them tested positive, including 27 bus drivers and conductors who had been part of the transport arrangement. On 2 May, around 4,000 stranded pilgrims returned from Hazur Sahib in Nanded, Maharashtra to Punjab. On 31 March, a Tablighi Jamaat religious congregation event in Delhi, which had taken place earlier in March, emerged as a COVID-19 hotspot. Over 40,000 people in 20 villages in Punjab were quarantined on 27 March to contain the spread. TimelineĪ Sikh preacher, who had a travel history to Italy and Germany, turned into a superspreader by attending a Sikh festival in Anandpur Sahib during 10–12 March. On 30 January 2022, India announced that it administered about 1.7 billion doses of vaccines and more than 720 million people were fully vaccinated. Later, Sputnik V and the Moderna vaccine was approved for emergency use too. India began its vaccination programme on 16 January 2021 with AstraZeneca vaccine (Covishield) and the indigenous Covaxin. Experts stated that the virus may reach an endemic stage in India rather than completely disappear in late August 2021, Soumya Swaminathan said India may be in some stage of endemicity where the country learns to live with the virus. On 30 April 2021, it became the first country to report over 400,000 new cases in a 24-hour period. By late April, India led the world in new and active cases. A second wave beginning in March 2021 was much more devastating than the first, with shortages of vaccines, hospital beds, oxygen cylinders and other medical supplies in parts of the country. Daily cases peaked mid-September with over 90,000 cases reported per-day, dropping to below 15,000 in January 2021. Infection rates started to drop in September. Lockdowns were announced in Kerala on 23 March, and in the rest of the country on 25 March. The first cases of COVID-19 in India were reported on 30 January 2020 in three towns of Kerala, among three Indian medical students who had returned from Wuhan, the epicenter of the pandemic. In October 2021, the World Health Organization estimated 4.7 million excess deaths, both directly and indirectly related to COVID-19 to have taken place in India. As of 6 October 2023, according to Indian government figures, India has the second-highest number of confirmed cases in the world (after the United States of America) with 44,998,838 reported cases of COVID-19 infection and the third-highest number of COVID-19 deaths (after the United States and Brazil) at 532,032 deaths. The COVID-19 pandemic in India is a part of the worldwide pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 ( COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 ( SARS-CoV-2).
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